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AMKOR TECHNOLOGY, INC. (AMKR)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 revenue of $1.511B, up 14% q/q and 3% y/y, exceeded the high end of guidance; EPS was $0.22 with a non-routine $0.07 boost from a contingent payment; EBITDA was $259M . Consensus was $1.422B revenue and $0.16 EPS—both beaten; EBITDA also beat consensus [GetEstimates: Q2 2025]*.
- Mix and transition costs constrained margins (gross margin 12.0%): Vietnam ramp (~125 bps headwind), FX (~80 bps), and underutilized mainstream factories; operating income included a $32M non-routine benefit tied to the 2017 NANIUM acquisition .
- Q3 2025 guidance implies a strong seasonal ramp: revenue $1.875–$1.975B, GM 13.0–14.5%, EPS $0.34–$0.48; CapEx for FY25 maintained at ~$850M .
- Strategic catalysts: regained iOS socket into fall launch, first high-density fan-out product in high-volume production, broader computing pipeline, and planned Japan footprint rationalization to address underutilization .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- “We delivered second quarter revenue of $1.51 billion, up 14% sequentially and above the high end of guidance, with double-digit growth across all end markets” .
- First high-density fan-out product reached high-volume production, with additional launches slated; advanced packaging lines in Korea and Taiwan running at high utilization .
- Computing momentum: record 2024, +18% y/y in 1H25; test revenue in computing up ~50% y/y in 1H25; robust Q3 ramp expected across data center/infrastructure/PC .
What Went Wrong
- Gross margin constrained to 12.0% by mix (advanced SiP concentration), Vietnam ramp (~125 bps headwind), and FX (~80 bps vs Q1); mainstream underutilization persisted .
- Japan factories underutilized longer than anticipated, prompting footprint rationalization plans to align capacity with demand; details to follow next call .
- Automotive mainstream recovery remains gradual; silicon carbide expectations moderated with EV market timing; near-term auto growth guided to low single digits in 2H25 .
Financial Results
Estimate vs Actual (Q2 2025):
Segment and End-Market Mix:
Notes: Q2 EPS includes $0.07 from a contingent payment; operating income/EBITDA benefited by $32M . CFO cited ~125 bps Vietnam ramp impact and ~80 bps FX headwind vs Q1 .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “We delivered second quarter revenue of $1.51 billion, up 14% sequentially and above the high end of guidance, with double-digit growth across all end markets” .
- CEO: “A major milestone in the quarter was the launch of the first high-density fan out product in high volume production for our lead customer” .
- CFO: “Q2 gross margin was constrained by foreign currency headwinds of approximately 80 basis points… Vietnam will impact our gross margin in Q2… approximately 125 basis points” .
- CFO: “Operating income… included a non-routine $32 million benefit due to a contingent payment related to our 2017 NANIUM acquisition. Net income… and EPS… included $16 million and $0.07 respectively” .
- CEO: “We are progressing plans to rationalize our manufacturing footprint… specifically considering our seven factories in Japan” .
Q&A Highlights
- Margin flow-through: Q3 flow-through constrained by unfavorable mix (advanced SiP concentration) and mainstream underutilization; despite 27% revenue growth, operating income and EPS more than double .
- Japan rationalization: Multi-year footprint optimization to address underutilization; pricing actions on very low-volume customers considered .
- 2.5D/fan-out roadmap: Easing export controls could accelerate 2.5D; multiple fan-out products launching through 2H25/early 2026 .
- Communications: Strong Q3 ramp similar to 2022/2023 seasonality; consumer flat due to prior-year ramp; iOS socket recovery on plan .
- Substrates/materials: Potential high-end substrate constraints; proactive supplier engagement and strategic procurement set up .
- CapEx/U.S. manufacturing: ~$850M FY25; Arizona groundbreaking in 2H25; grants/incentives lag implies higher CapEx timing in 2026–2027 .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 beats: Revenue $1.511B vs $1.422B consensus; EPS $0.22 vs $0.160 consensus; EBITDA $259M vs $218.5M consensus [GetEstimates]*.
- Q3 2025 guide vs consensus: Revenue guide $1.875–$1.975B vs $1.933B consensus midpoint; EPS guide $0.34–$0.48 vs $0.422 consensus; guidance brackets consensus with strong comms seasonality [GetEstimates]*.
- FY 2025 consensus: EPS $1.252 and revenue $6.653B—trajectory depends on H2 comms volumes, compute ramp pacing, and mainstream utilization [GetEstimates]*.
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Strong beat with clear catalysts: regained iOS socket, continued compute momentum, and high-density fan-out commercialization support a strong Q3 setup; watch mix effects on margins .
- Margin trajectory hinges on footprint optimization and utilization: Vietnam ramp improving in H2; Japan rationalization should lift mid-term profitability; near-term GM constrained by advanced SiP mix .
- Compute remains the growth engine: diversified pipeline across GPUs, CPUs, networking, memory, photonics; test revenue scaling and high utilization in KR/TW support earnings leverage .
- Supply chain/tariff dynamics: easing export controls could expand 2.5D opportunities; potential substrate tightness warrants monitoring; Amkor’s proactive procurement mitigates risk .
- Capital allocation: liquidity strengthened (new $1B revolver, $500M term loan), $223M debt repayment in July; CapEx focused on advanced packaging and U.S. expansion; dividend paid in Q2 .
- Trading lens: Q3 guide above seasonality and consensus bracketing should be supportive; any confirmation of Japan consolidation details and additional fan-out wins are likely stock-positive; margin mix commentary remains the key watchpoint .
- Medium-term thesis: OSAT leadership in AI/HPC packaging and turnkey test, expanding U.S. footprint, and strategic customer engagements position Amkor to capture secular growth; execution on footprint optimization is the path to margin normalization .